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5.3 The Central Limit Theorem

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The Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT)

Formal statement: If X1,X2,…,Xn{X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n} are i.i.d. with mean μ{\mu} and standard deviation σ{\sigma}, then for large n{n}:
Xˉ≈N ⁣(μ, σn)\bar{X} \approx N\!\left(\mu,\ \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\right)

Conditions for the CLT to apply:

  • Sample size n≥30{n \geq 30} (rough guideline for non-normal populations)
  • Individual observations must be independent (check: 10% condition)

Why is the CLT so important?

  • It allows inference even when the population is not normal
  • It explains why the normal distribution appears so often in practice
  • It is the theoretical foundation for confidence intervals and hypothesis tests in Units 6-9

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