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6.8 Confidence Intervals for the Difference of Two Proportions

Part of Inference for Categorical Data: Proportions in AP® Statistics. Read the opening section, then create a free account for the full interactive lesson, practice, and progress tracking.

Two-Proportion z Confidence Interval

Parameter: p1−p2{p_1 - p_2} (difference in two population proportions)

Conditions:

  • Random: Both samples are random (or randomized experiment)
  • Independence: Each ni<10%{n_i < 10\%} of respective population (10% condition for each group)
  • Large Counts: All four counts ≥10{\geq 10}:
    n1p^1≥10,n1(1−p^1)≥10,n2p^2≥10,n2(1−p^2)≥10n_1 \hat{p}_1 \geq 10, \quad n_1(1-\hat{p}_1) \geq 10, \quad n_2 \hat{p}_2 \geq 10, \quad n_2(1-\hat{p}_2) \geq 10
Formula:
(p^1−p^2)±z∗p^1(1−p^1)n1+p^2(1−p^2)n2(\hat{p}_1 - \hat{p}_2) \pm z^* \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}_1(1-\hat{p}_1)}{n_1} + \frac{\hat{p}_2(1-\hat{p}_2)}{n_2}}

Note: Use p^1{\hat{p}_1} and p^2{\hat{p}_2} (not a pooled estimate) in the standard error for confidence intervals.

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