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4.6 Independent Events and Unions of Events

Part of Probability, Random Variables, and Probability Distributions in AP® Statistics. Read the opening section, then create a free account for the full interactive lesson, practice, and progress tracking.

Independent Events

Independent events

Mathematical definition:
A and B are independent  ⟺  P(A∣B)=P(A)  ⟺  P(B∣A)=P(B)A \text{ and } B \text{ are independent} \iff P(A \mid B) = P(A) \iff P(B \mid A) = P(B)

Equivalently: P(A∩B)=P(A)⋅P(B){P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)}

Multiplication rule for independent events:
P(A∩B)=P(A)⋅P(B)(if independent)\boxed{P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)} \quad \text{(if independent)}

How to verify independence: Check if P(A∣B)=P(A){P(A \mid B) = P(A)}, or equivalently if P(A∩B)=P(A)⋅P(B){P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)}.

Examples:

  • Flipping two fair coins: getting heads on flip 1 and flip 2 are independent
  • Drawing cards WITH replacement: each draw is independent
  • Drawing cards WITHOUT replacement: draws are NOT independent (dependent)

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