Expected Value (Mean)
The expected value
Interpretation: If the experiment is repeated many times, the average value of X approaches .
Example: Insurance company sells policies. Each year:
- 1 in 1000 customers makes a $50,000 claim
- 5 in 1000 make a $10,000 claim
- The rest make no claim
The company needs to charge more than $100 per policy to be profitable.
Properties of Expected Value:
- (linear transformation)
- (for any X and Y)