The Geometric Setting
The geometric distribution
Conditions (BIPS):
- Binary: each trial has two outcomes (success/failure)
- Independent: trials are independent
- Probability same: probability of success is constant
- Stopping rule: we count the number of trials until the FIRST success
where = number of trials until first success
Key difference from binomial: In the binomial, the number of trials is fixed. In the geometric, we keep going until we get a success — the number of trials is the random variable.
Example: Roll a die until you get a 6. = number of rolls needed. .