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4.12 The Geometric Distribution

Part of Probability, Random Variables, and Probability Distributions in AP® Statistics. Read the opening section, then create a free account for the full interactive lesson, practice, and progress tracking.

The Geometric Setting

The geometric distribution

Conditions (BIPS):

  • Binary: each trial has two outcomes (success/failure)
  • Independent: trials are independent
  • Probability same: probability of success p{p} is constant
  • Stopping rule: we count the number of trials until the FIRST success

X∼Geom(p){X \sim \text{Geom}(p)} where X{X} = number of trials until first success

Key difference from binomial: In the binomial, the number of trials n{n} is fixed. In the geometric, we keep going until we get a success — the number of trials is the random variable.

Example: Roll a die until you get a 6. X{X} = number of rolls needed. p=1/6{p = 1/6}.

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